Description

This analysis provides a forecast of JASMY prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-11-30 0.005026 0.005706 0.006485 0.007451 0.008630 0.010038 0.011874
2025-12-07 0.003983 0.004800 0.005818 0.007210 0.009114 0.011705 0.015648
2025-12-14 0.003431 0.004297 0.005441 0.007115 0.009604 0.013353 0.019850
2025-12-21 0.003151 0.004075 0.005357 0.007350 0.010547 0.015857 0.026386
2025-12-28 0.002969 0.003950 0.005370 0.007702 0.011726 0.019091 0.035966
2026-01-04 0.002763 0.003757 0.005246 0.007801 0.012484 0.021821 0.046323
2026-01-11 0.002557 0.003537 0.005045 0.007729 0.012905 0.024019 0.057128
2026-01-18 0.002400 0.003375 0.004914 0.007747 0.013493 0.026811 0.072412
2026-01-25 0.002229 0.003173 0.004691 0.007562 0.013618 0.028553 0.086256
2026-02-01 0.002053 0.002946 0.004405 0.007216 0.013319 0.029092 0.096200
2026-02-08 0.001896 0.002740 0.004135 0.006867 0.012945 0.029307 0.105332
2026-02-15 0.001825 0.002670 0.004094 0.006961 0.013624 0.032937 0.139352
2026-02-22 0.001718 0.002540 0.003948 0.006851 0.013861 0.035593 0.177410
2026-03-01 0.001606 0.002394 0.003761 0.006637 0.013799 0.037308 0.216572
2026-03-08 0.001523 0.002291 0.003644 0.006552 0.014066 0.040468 0.287347
2026-03-15 0.001484 0.002261 0.003659 0.006761 0.015211 0.048156 0.488432
2026-03-22 0.001460 0.002254 0.003716 0.007075 0.016783 0.059617 1.029298
2026-03-29 0.001412 0.002202 0.003680 0.007162 0.017690 0.068957 2.070117
2026-04-05 0.001353 0.002126 0.003588 0.007099 0.018081 0.075910 4.026184
2026-04-12 0.001307 0.002069 0.003530 0.007114 0.018768 0.086069 11.647813
2026-04-19 0.001247 0.001984 0.003409 0.006950 0.018748 0.091165 30.980630
2026-04-26 0.001179 0.001880 0.003241 0.006642 0.018105 0.090534 56.390011
2026-05-03 0.001115 0.001781 0.003077 0.006330 0.017386 0.088756 97.610482